ATP Tennis March 26

It’s looking like I turned a nice 3-1 day into a 3-3 day with two terrible live bets.

Whether it’s Nishioka yesterday or Kwon today or Mmoh at the end of the match tonight, it seems like every big point or pivotal moment is going against me currently. Just incredible beats by the tiniest of margins. Hopefully it turns at some point.

Friday:

I’m within 3% of the market line on eight of the sixteen matches on Friday. So, I’ll throw those out right away. I show value on Dan Evans and he’s 3-1 head-to-head with Tiafoe, who went three late sets in round one. But, I don’t bet Tiafoe matches so that match is out. I also show Lajovic with some value but I am avoiding him due to potential fatigue - he is the only player I show on the whole tour who has played in every week of the season so far. He played the ATP Cup, then made the fourth round at the Aussie and played on the middle Sunday, then he went right to Europe and played all four week of the indoor season and now he is in Miami. An incredible schedule. That leaves six matches where I show bettable value.

Picks:
Popyrin ml, +120, BOL
FAA -2.5, -125, Bet365
Isner ml, +110, Bet365
Ymer +2.5, -113, BM
Dimitrov -2.5, -138, Bet365
Fritz -3, -104, BM