ATP Tennis March 28
Saturday has not started well - Dzumhur can’t hold serve and Hurkacz can’t break serve. So, might as well turn my attention to Sunday.
Sunday:
I show some amount of value on almost every match. Despite getting close to the openers, money has come in hard on a bunch of these matches. Meds/Popyrin is the only one that hasn’t moved significantly and I can throw that one out (within 3%). Tiafoe/Lajovic is also within 3% and I don’t bet on Tiafoe matches so that is easy to throw out too.
I show value on Khachanov and Norrie but I am going to skip both of those - each guy has now played four straight weeks and both had extensive January schedules as well. I could see fatigue setting in and I don’t have a great way to put a number on that yet.
Picks:
Isner +2.5, -138, Bet365
RBA -3.5, -118, BOL
Ruus -3, -107, BM
Bublik -2.5, -118, BM