ATP Tennis Jan 7, 2022

First winning night since Sunday. That’s nice.

Some lines and spreads still are not up, so that sucks. But, here’s what is available.

ATP CUP

I think PCB could actually run away with that first one. It’s only a very marginal edge though and there is no spread up (probably -3.5 though, I imagine).

I’m guessing given his ‘big’ win against Zverev that FAA opens at lesser odds than what I have. If so, I will have no issue backing Meds at anything under -3.5, -140.

Adelaide

It is hard to get a grasp on Monfils, he played such a sporadic Covid schedule over the past 18 months. I know his data is incorrect as a representation of him. I also have an outright on Paul, so I’ll avoid this.

I show value on Ymer but much like Monfils but for different reasons Kokkinakis hardly ever has had stats that befit him - he is alwasy injured. I’ll pass on this.

I bet Cilic. He struggled with djere in their one previous match up but, I am not sure Djere should even be in this match. He was down a set and a break and the Moutet not only melted but got disqualified. Cilic played Monteiro and wasn’t broken and I expect a similar performance, only he should have an even better chance on return.

Melbourne

I almost show value on Molcan and Grigor. I’m happy to pass on both as I am high on Ruus and I have mild PTSD from Grigor matches last year.

Grabbed Cressy ml. I think that line is WAY short. Obviously.

Picks
Meds ?
Cilic -3.5, -115, BM
Cressy ml, -137, BM