ATP Tennis May 20th
What a weird day on Wednesday. 2-4 on finishes plays, with three more pending. Hopefully, those go my way and I eek out some profit.
Musetti and Sinner both won but didn’t cover the -2, which is historically pretty weird (a couple of carb filled early sets did them in). Fucsovics and Lopez were just shitty bets.
Geneva Thursday
Another -2 favorite that I show value on another instance where I want to fade this kid Stricker. I’m legit 0-5 in these scenarios just this week. So, this should be fun. I think I’ll just go with a juicy moneyline this time.
I show value on Koepfer and I should bet him but, I think there is a chance Ruud just rolls through this week and I’m going to avoid the +4.
I’ll probably tweet out odds and plays on the other two QF matches when they are set.
Lyon Thursday
The only match I see value on is the Thiem/Norrie match. The other three are all within 2-3% of the market and the Monfils one is obviously off because he has almost no data across the last two years.
Picks:
Andujar ml, -150, Bet365
Thiem -4, -113, BOL