ATP Tennis Sept 23

Consistently inconsistent. My new handle. Also, I tried to factor in Nur Sultan being “slow”. After the Berankis loss, I’ll admit, I did not realize it was indoor clay…

Nur Sultan

Picks:
Gerasmiov -2, -107, BOL
Going back to the well with the Taberner fade. Egor has at least played a match here, so presumably he is acclimatized to the slow surface.
I don’t see a line out on Kraj/Duck. Hopefully that doesn’t mean Kraj has pulled out, as he is my outright pick.

Metz

Picks
Monfils -3.5, -102, BOL
Avoiding ADM because even though I show value, he is like 1-6 since Eastbourne and in that one win the set he lost was a bagel. Also avoiding ADF. He shows value too but he dropped a set to Gilles Simon on Monday and I have zero luck betting against Basher, he wins every time. I could be leaving money on the table, like I have with Murray on back to back days but, whatever.