The Tennis Database Presents Nascar at Dover
The Monster Mile! I’m going to try something different since it’s been now 30 races across two years and I’ve hit…. three outrights. Not great.
Tracks
Hard to find comparables here, so basically just Dover and Bristol and a little weighting from Darlington.
Top Tens
Ryan Newman has finished every race at this subset of tracks and data. I find that fascinating. Kevin Harvick, when he makes it to the end of a race, finishes in the top ten 86% of the time at these tracks. That’s wild. At Dover in particular, Truex and Elliott look like they will be hard to beat. Interesting not on Chase though - I can’t find a driver who has ‘come from the back’ and won at Dover. Penalties suck.
Crew Chiefs
Bubba Wallace, Kurt Busch and Harvick all look like they will get a nice bump from their pit crews today.
Laps Led
Harvick, Truex; Truex, Harvick. Larson?
Odds
Here’s my stuff. Looks like I like Truex and Hamlin, instead of Truex and Harvick, which is where I thought this was going.
The Market
I’ve marked Elliott in red because I think the penalty is severe at this particular track.
Picks:
