The Tennis Database presents: Nascar at Homestead

These sportsbooks keep releasing head-to-head matchups later and later. Which doesn’t leave me any time to write or create graphics. I’ll be out and about today, so I’ll have to move ahead without BOL H2H’s. Maybe I’ll check in if I am home before the green flag.

My apologies.

Odds:

I can tell you Harvick and Hamlin are so consistently dominate at this track that I can’t get my odds near the market. It is so skewed. They don’t win everytime (like in 2020) but they finish so well, so often the weighting is hard to manage (at least for me).

I show value on plenty of guys but, as per last season’s deep dive on winners history, I don’t feel like “longshots” win enough to merit throwing fractional units at them - so, anyone over 50/1 is out, regardless of my numbers.

That leaves three guys I show “value” on (again, that’s only if you buy what I am pitching here). Logano is super consistent here, Reddick has a ‘style’ of racing at this track named after him already (he’s like 25 years old), and is very up and down, with top 5’s offset by DNF’s.

I’m running so terrible in tennis, the best idea seems like… throw more money at Nascar! I’ve back-tested as best I can through 2016. My results seem to hold up. So, I’m going to ever so slighly increase the four H2H’s with the biggest ‘edge’.

Should be a great way to burn more cash.

Picks: