ATP Tennis Jan 20, 2022

Rough day, leaving Mannarino off and giving myself a 2-3 day. Korda couldn’t close the deal a little faster.

Thursday night/Friday

I show value on Korda but it’s essentially a pick’em and I have an outright on PCB. I don’t want to be hedging in the third round, so I’ll pass on Korda. Kind of surprised myself that Korda was favored by my model over PCB - not sure how I missed that during the outright work.

I show a little value on Berrettini. I make Alcaraz a favorite (which is also wildly surprising) but, the market has taken off a bit. I’ll avoid this.

I show value on Shapo. I can’t make the bet though, as he has spent the most time on court of any non-qualifier and Opelka hasn’t dropped a set yet.

I show value on Mannarino but, Karatsev is apparently unstoppable in Australia.

Picks: