ATP Tennis Jan 26, 2022

Second day of quarter-finals is on the horizon and lines are out, so…

Tuesday night/Wednesday

I posted Berrettini for Monday night/Tuesday. I show extreme value on Tsitsipas. And I would probably take him here except I have an outright on Sinner. I honestly didn’t think Stef would be healthy enough to make it this far in the tournament. And now I am dreading this quarter-final match.

I also have an outright on FAA but that looks sunk too. I took it because I thought the Aussie government would move faster and the draw might have been shuffled (ie, Rublev moved), so I thought 50/1 had value. Of course, he didn’t have to face Rublev anyway and no one upset Medvedev. As outlined in my tourney preview, it would appear Meds is set to make history; possibly winning his first two slams back to back. I don’t see much hope for FAA and I’m going to actually hedge my outright a little with a Meds 3-0 ticket. If FAA somehow wins a set, I’ll take a look at Meds ml or a Meds 3-1 ticket. At 50/1 there is some room to play around.

Picks (hedge only if you have FAA 50/1):
Medvedev 3-0, +126, BM x 1 units