ATP Tennis Winston Salem Day 4

Cilic choked away a pretty good day on the courts. I went 3-2 and the other loss I knew was coming the minute I placed the bet. I always avoid Tiafoe matches, I thought maybe the changes to the model I’ve made in the last two weeks might have fixed him, but he remains the elusive whale. One day I’ll get one of his matches right. One day.

Wednesday

I show value on PCB, Struff, Gaasuet and Ymer but all under the new 10% threshold I’ve installed. They’ll probably all cruise. Seems like a possibly chalky day, as I show favorites potentially winning all the matches other than Gasquet and PHH.

The Fucsovics future price is looking like an ok-to-possibly-bad purchase. He was -400 ish against Watanuki and he is only a pick’em today against Garfia. Assuming he is like -250 against PHH and a pick’em against Tiafoe, and a +200 ish dog against PCB in the final, a rollover would have paid +2200 ish.

I show value agianst Tiafoe… again. I’ll pass this time.

Picks:
Ruusuvuori ml, -136, BOL
PHH ml, +149, BOL
Fucsovics ml, -110, Bet365