ATP Tennis April 24th

Ten in a row winning streak comes to a crashing halt with two pretty marvelous collapses. Nice end to Friday if you are into binge drinking.

Belgrade

I basically nailed both these lines. I don’t see how Novak and Berrettini don’t both roll through here. I can’t recommend taking -5.5 or -4.5 though, those lines always both me. In both cases though, you can take the under and gain a half a game on the spread. Juicy.

Picks:
Djokovic/Karatsev u19.5, -125, Bet365
Berrettini/Daniel u21.5, -120, BOL

Barcelona

The Sinner/Tsitty line opened right near my number and has immediately taken off with money on Tsitsipas. I get he has been playing great but I don’t think Munar, DeMinaur on clay, or FAA compare to RBA and Rublev. Sinner is cruising. These two have played twice, both on clay, oddily enough both in Rome. They split the series and there doesn’t seem like there is a lot between them. I just don’t think I should be able to get +3 here.
I nailed the Rafa line almost to the penny at Pinny. I don’t see a spread or a total anywhere yet. If I get Rafa -5.5 and/or u19 I’ll hit both. Even though the line looks right. Rafa felt like maybe he turned the corned a little against Norrie after two weird performances. The biggest difference being he actually held serve. I see a blow out on Saturday.

Picks:
Sinner +3, -112, BM
Rafa spread probably
Rafa/PCB under probably