ATP Tennis April 26th
Off one of the best weeks of my life, here’s to hoping I can stay afloat this week.
Munich
I see a lot of coin flips in Germany. And while there was value on Millman, it was mostly due to the head to head history and is clay career has not been impressive. Also, in the early match, Ruusuvuori hasn’t played a clay match yet, so I wanted to avoid that one as well.
As for what’s left, I show value on Berankis but, like Millman, his clay career is so bad it’s hard to put into numbers so, I’ll stay away from that.
Stebe is a small favorite and I rode him through qualies and qualies last week. I’m happy to do so again. I make him a slightly larger favorite over Coria, a guy who has lost five straight matches dating back to early March.
I also see value on Gerasimov. The line has ballooned out to almost -200 for Pella. Maybe someone knows something about Egor’s compete level today but, I’m still counting on Pella’s foot injury. I mean, that’s just never going away. You can get +3 now at Bookmaker and Pinny.
Picks
Stebe -1.5, -112, BM
Gerasimov +3, -104, BM
Estoril