ATP Tennis Jan 13, 2022

Eeked out a profit yesterday. Not surprisingly betting totals went poorly. I’ll give it one more shot tonight.

Sydney

I should have hit Aslan on the opener. Probably still would hit the moneyline if I wasn’t already on him outright.

Nakashima/OPelka should be the popcorn match of the night for tennis fans. I show a ton of value on Naka probably based on the fact that Opelka has had a rough last 8 months or so.

Murray has a 6-0 record against Goffin. But, I can’t bet on a guy that has put on this mileage this week given what we know of his last four years on court.

Picks:
Nakashima ml, -134, BOL

Adelaide2

Honestly, a little proud on how close I am on these lines. Kind of incredible.

I’m going to go back to the well on totals. Munar collapsed last night in the second set and that is certainly possible here given Vukic’s track record. But, Vukic has held serve 33/35 times this year (ultra small sample, I know). Kokkinakis is a known servebot - lite (see last night). I took the o23.

Picks
Vukic/Kokkinakis o23, -109, BM

Aussie Qualies

I have personally had zero luck betting against Dominic Stricker and I think I only show value on Eubanks because I can’t properly up Safiullin for his five matches in 2022.

Picks
Machac + Wolf ml, +135, BM