ATP Barcelona and Belgrade

Rafa and Novak playing in the same week… at different events? This is worse than last week in Monte Carlo.

Barcelona Field

Barcelona Odds

I show value on ARV again, same as Monte Carlo but after his collapse in Marbella I don’t think I can ever take an outright on him again. Being in a quarter with RBA, Sinner and Rublev isn’t good either.
Monteiro landed in a spot where he’ll have to play Monte Carlo champ Tsitsipas in round two. I’m not liking that draw.
I show value on Ruud and I probably would have grabbed him, but he was a late withdraw.

Belgrade Field

Belgrade Odds

It’s pretty easy to lay off Bedene, Djere and Londero given this isn’t your average 250 level event. If Novak and Berrettini and Karatsev weren’t here, I could easily see Djere or Bedene making a deep run. Given the field though, they are an easy avoid.
Berrettini is tempting. He should win his quarter and both Karatsev and Djoker landed on the opposiet side. I’m going to avoid it though, given he has only played one match since the Aussie and it was a pretty routine defeat to ADF.

No picks