ATP Monte Carlo Outright

I don’t see a lot of value with Djoker and Nadal both in the field.

The Field:

The odds:

ARV couldn’t even hold serve in a 250 event when I picked him outright, he’s not winning in this field.
Pella is carrying a long term foot injury and won’t ever be a threat again.
Chardy is a tad old and landed in a quarter with Rublev and Nadal.
Fucsovics landed in a quarter with Zverev and Djoker, no thanks.
Cilic hasn’t looked in form in almost two years, I have no idea why he shows value.
Djere, much like ARV couldn’t hold his water in a 250 final, he isn’t going deep in a Masters Series event.
Dimitrov has the same issue as Chardy. I considered a flyer here but, he landed in the toughest quarter.
If the Nadal/Rublev quarter is the toughest based on seeded players, someone in the top half of the second quarter would have the toughest draw - Garin would have to overcome some combination of FAA - Tsitsipas/Karatsev - Berrettini just to get out of his quarter. No thanks.
I like Berrettini a lot but he is coming off an injury and Tsitsipas and Karatsev are scary.
The place to look is the fourth quarter where Medvedev and Schwartzman could be vulnerable. I show value on PCB and Ruud. Unfortunately, even if they win their quarter, they’ll probably have to go Nadal-Djoker in their last two matches. So, I’m out.

No pick